BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Arizona
Class: 1B Class Rank: 25 Overall: (7-5) Overall Strength = 135.64
Conference: Big Sky Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1B-01 Record: (7-4)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/30/2025 Away L 144.47 19 38 1A 48 ( 8- 5) Arizona St 8.82 -18.02 -27.82
2 09/06/2025 Home W * 126.68 38 31 1B 75 ( 2-10) Utah Tech -8.96 13.53 15.96
3 09/13/2025 Away W * 142.82 52 49 1B 20 ( 7- 5) Southern Utah 7.18 -7.49 -4.18
4 09/20/2025 Home W * 135.41 31 23 1B 39 ( 5- 7) Incarnate Word -0.23 13.32 8.23
5 09/27/2025 Away W * * 131.43 31 17 1B 90 ( 1-11) Portland St -4.21 8.67 18.21
6 10/04/2025 Home L * * 131.47 10 34 1B 2 (14- 2) Montana St -4.17 -12.83 -19.83
7 10/11/2025 Away L * * 121.84 24 45 1B 9 ( 9- 4) UC-Davis -13.81 -11.34 -7.19
8 10/25/2025 Away W * * 155.08 31 18 1B 15 ( 6- 6) Idaho St 19.44 -6.46 -6.44
9 10/31/2025 Home L * * 128.85 32 35 1B 29 ( 4- 8) Idaho -6.79 -0.04 3.79
10 11/08/2025 Home W * * 161.86 49 10 1B 58 ( 4- 8) Northern Colorado 26.21 8.84 12.79
11 11/15/2025 Home W * * 141.01 35 27 1B 26 ( 4- 8) Cal Poly SLO 5.37 5.51 2.63
12 11/22/2025 Away L * * 106.79 28 48 1B 51 ( 4- 8) Weber St -28.85 14.83 8.85
Averages 135.64 31.7 31.2
Best game: 161.86 = 39 point win over Northern Colorado
Worst game: 106.79 = 20 point loss to Weber St
Team stdev: 14.79